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Falling property sector confidence demands cooperation between Government and industry

The results of the latest ANZ/Property Council Survey have revealed that confidence levels across Victoria’s property industry have fallen for the fourth consecutive quarter and show an immediate need for the Government to work with the sector to support innovative approaches to bolstering confidence.  

The Property Council of Australia Victorian Executive Director, Cressida Wall, said “The results were not unexpected but confirms the need for the Victorian Government to engage in supporting the state’s largest employer through economic headwinds and a period of uncertainty”.

Industry confidence has fallen from 123 index points to 114 for the June 2019 quarter. The decline of 9 index points exceeds the national trend and confirms an ongoing decline in general industry sentiment. The industry confidence level in Victoria has fallen by 33 index points over the past year – the biggest drop in Australia.

The total index score for Australia contracted from 123 to 115 index points over the June 2019 quarter. A score of 100 is considered neutral.

“There is a national decline in market confidence that’s being acutely felt in Victoria,” said Ms Wall.

“It’s critical that the State Government works with the industry to strengthen confidence in the property industry and that the upcoming State Budget addresses this,” said Ms Wall.

“As Victoria’s largest employer, accounting for over 331,000 jobs, the strength of the property industry is vital to the strength of the Victorian economy.”

With the State Budget less than a month away, the Government must commit to policies that will encourage investment in Victoria, including:

  • Introducing further stimulants to support build-to-rent as an emerging asset class;
  • Re-instating stamp duty concessions for off-the-plan developments;
  • Amending the C270 planning controls;
  • Exempting non-residential property investments (commercial and industrial) from the Land Tax Absentee Owner Surcharge;
  • Committing to the delivery of an additional 50,000 lots of development-ready land in Melbourne’s growth corridors every year; and
  • Requiring that GAIC funds are spent in the communities in which they are collected within a mandated five-year period.

To view select ANZ/Property Council Survey historical data series, visit the
Property Council’s Data Room

To find out more about the ANZ/Property Council Survey and our Support Sponsor RCP, visit
www.propertycouncil.com.au/confidence

Victoria

Overall Context

Quarterly Result

Index Quarterly Change

Comment

Confidence Index

POSITIVE

DOWN

123 to 114

A fall of 9 points, one point behind the national average

State Economic Growth

NEGATIVE

DOWN

2.8 to -12.3

The decline in confidence saw the first negative result since June 2015

State Govt Performance

POSITIVE

UP

-0.7 to 6.2

Improved sector satisfaction with State Government

Debt Finance Availability

NEGATIVE

UP

-20.0 to -16.8

Improvement from the previous quarter

House Capital Growth

NEGATIVE

DOWN

-43.8 to -54.7

Continued decline in sector confidence

Forward Work Schedules

POSITIVE

DOWN

31.7 to 29.9

Slightly below the national average

Staffing Levels

POSITIVE

DOWN

20.4 to 19.7

Continued growth against the national average



















Fast Facts (Victoria):

  • Victorian index score: dropped to 114 index points — a reduction of nine points.
  • Forward work schedules decreased from 31.7 to 29.9 index points over the June quarter
  • Staffing level expectations also declined, from 20.4 to 19.7 index points.

Media contact: Emily Young, Senior Communications and Policy Advisor | M 0475161328 | E eyoung@propertycouncil.com.au